Will Donald Trump say “Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Affordable / Affordability” at 29 of 71 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (41%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=71, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 54% · n=71
- Settled
- 29/71 (41%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…dream. And as your next governor, this state is going to be affordable. We're going to lower insurance. We're going to lower taxes. Florida will…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Affordable / Affordability” at 29 of 71 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (41%), most recently on Aug 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=71). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP