Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 10, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his meeting with Oil and Gas Executives?
Markets
23 words · 16 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 66%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 66%n=144 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 64%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 59%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 58%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Energy | Yes | 57%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 56%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 53%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 53%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 48%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| China / Russia | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Marco / Rubio | Yes | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Yes | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | 38%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 28%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 24%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Cocaine | No | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pete / Hegseth | No | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Pipeline | No | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Walz | No | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 35%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 35%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=226 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP