Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks to Military Families?
Markets
24 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 72%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 65%n=124 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 60%n=178 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | 58%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 52%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 51%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=145 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 49%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 48%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Recruitment / Recruiting | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midnight Hammer | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 38%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 25%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 48%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender / DEI / Woke | No | 44%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Hegseth | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome / Golden Age | No | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 30%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 23%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 13%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=271 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP