Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Health Roundtable?
Markets
19 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | 64%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 64%n=106 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 62%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 61%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Bobby / Kennedy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | Yes | 51%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 48%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Insurance | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 62%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Tylenol | No | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump RX / TrumpRX.gov / TrumpRX.com | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Vaccine | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer | No | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Milk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 31%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=232 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP