Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks in Corpus Christi?
Markets
46 words · 28 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 71%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | Yes | 64%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 61%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 60%n=189 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 58%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=154 from settlement history | – |
| November 5 | Yes | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 50%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 50%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 47%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump | Yes | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 45%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | 44%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Highest Inflation | Yes | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crude Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsement | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Win / Winning | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 40%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 38%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / Homeland | Yes | 36%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 35%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | Yes | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | 29%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 29%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 24%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Institution | No | 65%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | No | 58%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 51%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Hockey | No | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics / World Cup | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Windmill | No | 46%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 45%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 43%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Cocaine | No | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hoax | No | 41%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somali / Somalian | No | 39%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 37%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Cartel | No | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deportation | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 29%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 18%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=285 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP