Donald Trump: Remarks, Dec 7, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Honors Medal Presentation?
Markets
20 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peace | Yes | 63%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 59%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 69%n=81 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 69%n=122 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 61%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 60%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | No | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 43%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 43%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Rainbow | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investment | No | 40%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Renovation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 39%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 36%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Olympics | No | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Bone | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 22%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 10%n=197 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP