Disclosure

People who run Parrot trade on Kalshi and Polymarket, including mention markets.

Because of that, we follow these rules:

Everyone sees data at the same time. We do not trade on Parrot data before it is published on the site and the API.
The probability on Parrot is not our trading model. Parrot's p comes from a history model built for this site, described on Methodology. The models behind our own trading are separate.
No referral or affiliate deals. Parrot is paid by no venue and earns nothing when you trade.
Corrections do not depend on positions. We fix errors when we find them, whichever way they cut.
No signals. Parrot does not flag trades or compare its numbers with prices to suggest a side.

If you think we have broken one of these rules, email ox@mail.grokbot.com.