World mention markets

As of Oct 23, 2026, Parrot covers 135 Kalshi and Polymarket world mention-market events (3 open) for 27 people, shows and companies, with 62 transcripts.

World leaders: UK (PMQs, the King), Canada, Europe, Middle East, Asia-Pacific, the UN.

Data updated · Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

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GET /api/v1/upcoming?category=world&days=14

Numbers: events in the next 14 days

Coming up

next 14 days · 2 events

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

Wed, Oct 28

2 events

Prime Minister's Questions · Weekly session

Prime Minister's QuestionsWeekly session
8:00 am ET
Prime Minister's Questions: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word7 listings before the last6 listings before the last5 listings before the last4 listings before the last3 listings before the last2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
UkraineK 71¢Ukraine: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastUkraine: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastUkraine: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastUkraine: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastUkraine: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastUkraine: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastUkraine: said, 1 listing before the lastUkraine: said, the last settled listing67% from settlement history
BenefitK 72¢Benefit: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastBenefit: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastBenefit: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
EUK 24¢EU: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastEU: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastEU: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
EnergyK 50¢Energy: said, 7 listings before the lastEnergy: said, 6 listings before the lastEnergy: said, 5 listings before the lastEnergy: not said, 4 listings before the lastEnergy: not said, 3 listings before the lastEnergy: said, 2 listings before the lastEnergy: not said, 1 listing before the lastEnergy: said, the last settled listing55% from settlement history
IranK 22¢Iran: said, 7 listings before the lastIran: not said, 6 listings before the lastIran: said, 5 listings before the lastIran: not said, 4 listings before the lastIran: not said, 3 listings before the lastIran: not said, 2 listings before the lastIran: said, 1 listing before the lastIran: said, the last settled listing54% from settlement history
BudgetK 71¢Budget: said, 7 listings before the lastBudget: said, 6 listings before the lastBudget: said, 5 listings before the lastBudget: said, 4 listings before the lastBudget: said, 3 listings before the lastBudget: not said, 2 listings before the lastBudget: said, 1 listing before the lastBudget: said, the last settled listing53% from settlement history
Kalshi+10 more wordsLast transcript · Oct 21, 2026

Prime Minister's Questions · The next Prime Minister's Questions event

Prime Minister's QuestionsThe next Prime Minister's Questions event
By Wed, Oct 28
Prime Minister's Questions: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word7 listings before the last6 listings before the last5 listings before the last4 listings before the last3 listings before the last2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
DefenceP 76¢Defence: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastDefence: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastDefence: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastDefence: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastDefence: said, 3 listings before the lastDefence: not said, 2 listings before the lastDefence: said, 1 listing before the lastDefence: said, the last settled listing55% from settlement history
Mr Speaker30+P 74¢Mr Speaker: not said, 7 listings before the lastMr Speaker: not said, 6 listings before the lastMr Speaker: said, 5 listings before the lastMr Speaker: not said, 4 listings before the lastMr Speaker: said, 3 listings before the lastMr Speaker: not said, 2 listings before the lastMr Speaker: said, 1 listing before the lastMr Speaker: said, the last settled listing48% from settlement history
ScotlandP 80¢Scotland: not said, 7 listings before the lastScotland: not said, 6 listings before the lastScotland: said, 5 listings before the lastScotland: said, 4 listings before the lastScotland: not said, 3 listings before the lastScotland: not said, 2 listings before the lastScotland: said, 1 listing before the lastScotland: not said, the last settled listing47% from settlement history
NHSP 34¢NHS: said, 7 listings before the lastNHS: said, 6 listings before the lastNHS: said, 5 listings before the lastNHS: said, 4 listings before the lastNHS: said, 3 listings before the lastNHS: not said, 2 listings before the lastNHS: not said, 1 listing before the lastNHS: not said, the last settled listing44% from settlement history
ReformP 74¢Reform: said, 7 listings before the lastReform: said, 6 listings before the lastReform: said, 5 listings before the lastReform: not said, 4 listings before the lastReform: not said, 3 listings before the lastReform: not said, 2 listings before the lastReform: said, 1 listing before the lastReform: said, the last settled listing41% from settlement history
Million5+P 56¢Million: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastMillion: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastMillion: said, 5 listings before the lastMillion: not said, 4 listings before the lastMillion: said, 3 listings before the lastMillion: not said, 2 listings before the lastMillion: not said, 1 listing before the lastMillion: not said, the last settled listing35% from settlement history
Polymarket+3 more wordsLast transcript · Oct 21, 2026

Recently settled

  1. Prime Minister's Questions

    Wed, Oct 21 · Weekly session

    8 of 17 words said

    Settled by the venues; no transcript count yet
    • BenefitYes
    • EnergyYes
    • EUYes
    • IranYes

  2. Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Sun, Oct 18 · Meet the Press

    5 of 17 words said

    Settled by the venues; no transcript count yet
    • GasYes
    • MissileYes
    • PutinYes
    • SanctionYes

  3. Prime Minister's Questions

    Wed, Oct 14 · The next Prime Minister's Questions event

    7 of 14 words said

    Our count matched 10 of 11
    • DefenceYes · 4×
    • ScotlandYes · 4×
    • BudgetYes · 1×
    • TrumpYes · 1×

Who is covered

10, most active first

Most-tracked words

by settled listings; probability = calibrated p for the next listing
World: most-tracked words
WordWhoLast 10 settledSaid when listedNext time
TrumpPrime Minister's QuestionsPrime Minister's Questions5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes yes yes yes12/4825%40%n=48 from settlement history
UkrainePrime Minister's QuestionsPrime Minister's Questions8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes17/3253%62%n=32 from settlement history
ReformPrime Minister's QuestionsPrime Minister's Questions7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no no yes yes24/2886%41%n=28 from settlement history
TrumpMark CarneyMark Carney3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no no no no5/2520%35%n=25 from settlement history
TariffMark CarneyMark Carney6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes yes no yes9/2241%49%n=22 from settlement history
AIMark CarneyMark Carney6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes no no yes yes13/1968%58%n=19 from settlement history
NuclearBenjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no7/888%56%n=8 from settlement history
LebanonBenjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no no4/850%34%n=8 from settlement history
CeasefireBenjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no3/838%30%n=8 from settlement history
NuclearMark RutteMark Rutte6/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes6/786%74%n=7 from settlement history
AIMark RutteMark Rutte3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes yes3/743%49%n=7 from settlement history
DroneMark RutteMark Rutte6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes6/6100%71%n=6 from settlement history
PutinVolodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes5/5100%66%n=5 from settlement history
DroneVolodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no3/475%36%n=4 from settlement history
NATOVolodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no3/475%36%n=4 from settlement history
NuclearUnited NationsUnited Nations2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no2/450%45%n=4 from settlement history
TrumpKing Charles IIIKing Charles III2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no2/450%46%n=4 from settlement history

Citeparrot.markets, “World mention markets”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world (CC BY 4.0)