Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Remarks on Trump Accounts?
Markets
21 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 68%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 63%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| Dell | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Housing | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 45%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Baby | Yes | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 6 Billion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | 66%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 64%n=162 from settlement history | – |
| Education / College | No | 56%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| 401k / 401(k) | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | 44%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 41%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Stagflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dividend / Stimulus | No | 34%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 32%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | No | 29%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=246 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP