Donald Trump: Interview, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his CNBC interview?
Markets
18 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 62%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | 51%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 49%n=123 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 49%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Invested / Investment | Yes | 49%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 47%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | 45%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 45%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 78%n=156 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 74%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 62%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 60%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 59%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 51%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 38%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | No | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 13%n=240 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP