Donald Trump: Remarks, Dec 30, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
Markets
22 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 65%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 65%n=140 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 63%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 57%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 56%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | Yes | 55%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 53%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | Yes | 47%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 46%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Syria / Syrian | Yes | 44%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Steve / Jared | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone | Yes | 15%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 54%n=107 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 52%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Investment / Invested | No | 47%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 38%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 37%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy | No | 31%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 18%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 17%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=218 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP