Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 6, 2026
Kalshi Mention: Trump at National Prayer Breakfast
Markets
21 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 70%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 63%n=117 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 60%n=170 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 54%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 52%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 52%n=137 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 51%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 49%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 48%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | Yes | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 43%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 40%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 32%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 27%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 55%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | No | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | No | 48%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 32%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 31%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 29%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=259 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP