Donald Trump: Monthly window, Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in August?
Coverage
36 known appearances25 of 36 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 1, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 2, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 3, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Executive Order Establishing the President's Military Spouse Commission and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 4, 2026 Donald Trump: Fox News at Night no transcript source yet
- Aug 4, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 4, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Los Angeles, California Official transcript
- Aug 5, 2026 Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Donald Trump: Punchbowl News interview transcript pending
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Wyoming Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Megan Degenfelder Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks at a Reception for United States Olympic and Paralympic Athletes and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks Following a Document Signing Ceremony on Semiconductor Supply and Citizenship and Immigration and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 7, 2026 Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on United States Mining at the Department of State Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Wisconsin Republican Congressional Candidate Michael Alfonso Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Childhood Vaccine Schedule Recommendations and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Real America's Voice interview transcript pending
- Aug 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 13, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks on Law Enforcement in Garden City, New York Official transcript
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 17, 2026 Remarks During a Greeting With California State Parks Lifeguard Ryder Williams and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks on the Construction of the South Lawn Helipad and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks in a Meeting With Technology Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 20, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks in the White House Rose Garden transcript pending
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks at a Campaign Rally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina Official transcript
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on August 24 transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Mike Mazzei Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Rose Garden event transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks at a White House Back-to-School Event Official transcript
- Aug 25, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 27, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order Honoring the American History of the Great Lakes and Renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 28, 2026 Remarks During a Teleconference With National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Astronauts Aboard the International Space Station From Houston, Texas Official transcript
- Aug 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Sunday Night in America transcript pending
- Aug 31, 2026 Donald Trump: Healthcare affordability announcement transcript pending
- Aug 31, 2026 Remarks on Efforts To Reduce Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
Markets
35 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 22 | 34 | ✓ | 54%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 8 | 15 | ✓ | 51%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 54%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Marxist | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| State of the Union / State of Union | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Through the Roof | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Gay | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 39%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 47%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Future President | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Slob | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crooked Joe | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Dictionary | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Shit | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | No | – | 0 | – | 61%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Presidential Walk of Fame | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sucker | No | – | 0 | – | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Red Card | No | – | 0 | – | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Thomas Jefferson | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tango | No | – | 0 | – | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Let Me Finish | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Garbage | No | – | 0 | – | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Movie Star | No | – | 0 | – | 45%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Cocaine | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Potato | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Death to America | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Central Casting | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Moscow | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Soaking Wet | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| State of the Art | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | – | 29%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 26%n=128 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-august-20260728181847522 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP