Donald Trump: Interview, Feb 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Fox Business Interview
Markets
17 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 69%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 62%n=175 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 56%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 56%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 51%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 42%n=141 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 40%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Kevin / Warsh | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 38%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Credit | Yes | 27%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 61%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 53%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 34%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Home / Housing | No | 30%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 9%n=266 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP