Donald Trump: Remarks, Dec 20, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his announcement?
Markets
21 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drug | Yes | 66%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 65%n=133 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 43%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 41%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 27%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 57%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 56%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Christmas | No | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 54%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 50%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | No | 49%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Hanukkah | No | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 43%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Lottery | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | No | 37%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 24%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | 22%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 21%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 15%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=211 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP