Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jun 30, 2026

By Jun 30Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

40 known appearances
30 of 40 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 1, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

24 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 7 of 7

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Affordable / Affordability Yes2428✓40%n=68 from settlement history–
Muscle Yes89✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Six Seven Yes33✓55%n=33 from settlement history–
Trump Derangement Syndrome Yes22✓67%n=14 from settlement history–
Dog Yes22✓59%n=10 from settlement history–
Best of Trump Yes11✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Cocaine Yes12✓31%n=6 from settlement history–
Ay Ay Ay Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Cognitive Test Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Gulf of Trump No–0–65%n=3 from settlement history–
All In All Out No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Bond No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Four More Years No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
KAG / Keep America Great No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
No No No Donald No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Satan No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Sex No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Yips No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Gay No–0–47%n=8 from settlement history–
Big League / Bigly No–0–45%n=3 from settlement history–
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Hippo / Hippopotamus No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Regarded No–0–36%n=2 from settlement history–
Antifa No–0–34%n=15 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-june · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP