Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Southern Boulevard Dedication Ceremony?
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trillion | Yes | 69%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 64%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 55%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | Yes | 53%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 52%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 52%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Mar-a-Lago | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 49%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 66%n=151 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 58%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 34%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 30%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 12%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=233 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP