Donald Trump: Interview, Feb 9, 2026
Kalshi Mention: Trump's NBC interview
Markets
19 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 67%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 57%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 53%n=111 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 53%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 36%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 67%n=174 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 66%n=102 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 58%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 55%n=120 from settlement history | – |
| Turning Point | No | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 44%n=140 from settlement history | – |
| NFL | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 40%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 38%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | No | 33%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Credit | No | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 10%n=263 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP