Donald Trump: Interview, Jan 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his radio interview?
Markets
25 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 66%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 62%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | 49%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 49%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | 48%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 33%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 72%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 61%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Investment / Invested | No | 59%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 55%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 53%n=126 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | No | 49%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Farmer | No | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| November 5 | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 40%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 40%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | No | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Age / Golden Dome | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iceland | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Radical Left | No | 37%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | 32%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Credit | No | 31%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 12%n=244 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP