Will Donald Trump say “Investment”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Investment” at 23 of 52 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (44%), most recently on Dec 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=52, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

41%from settlement history only · n=52counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Investment

Probability
41% · n=52
Settled
23/52 (44%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 35:00In transcript

…less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount by far ever…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 41:38In transcript

…the hottest country anywhere in the world. We made the largest ever investment in the US armed forces, Joanie, and $1 trillion all made in…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 29:07In transcript

…That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest, the largest amount of…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 3:01In transcript

We've secured commitments for $21 trillion in new investments from all over the planet, compared to less than $1 trillion in four years in the…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 52 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 25, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 20, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 12, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Dec 12, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Dec 7, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 6, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 5, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 5, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Dec 3, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 28, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 25, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 22, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 22, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 20, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 19, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 19, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 18, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 18, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 14, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 13, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 13, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 12, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 11, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 11, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 11, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 8, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 7, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 7, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Nov 7, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 6, 2025InvestmentPolymarketYes
Nov 6, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 6, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Nov 2, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Oct 30, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Oct 30, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Oct 29, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Oct 29, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Oct 28, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Oct 27, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Oct 18, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Sep 15, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Aug 25, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Aug 19, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Aug 16, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Aug 6, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Jul 22, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
Jun 6, 2025InvestmentKalshiYes
May 13, 2025InvestmentKalshiNo
Apr 24, 2025InvestmentPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Investment”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Investment” at 23 of 52 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (44%), most recently on Dec 12, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Investment” next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=52). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/investment (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP