Donald Trump: Remarks, Dec 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the FIFA World Cup Draw?
Markets
20 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hottest | Yes | 59%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | Yes | 53%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ticket | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada | Yes | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 71%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 70%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 63%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 62%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 62%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 55%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 46%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 43%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 42%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Tourist / Tourism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympics | No | 38%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bone | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ronaldo | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nobel | No | 13%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 10%n=196 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP