Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 28, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Thanksgiving call with service members?
Markets
18 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 70%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 70%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 65%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 63%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 52%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 50%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 48%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Turkey | Yes | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Gobble | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Eight Wars | No | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 46%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Olympics | No | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 38%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 29%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 25%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 23%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP