Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 27, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Bilateral Meeting with Malaysia?
Markets
22 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 77%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 83%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 82%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 71%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 71%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 66%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Energy | No | 63%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 63%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 62%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 62%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Drug | No | 57%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | No | 56%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 48%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 46%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 43%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 37%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 35%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 20%n=150 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 14%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP