Donald Trump: Speech, Nov 13, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his State Dining Room address?
Markets
23 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | No | 78%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 73%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 72%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 66%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 61%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 58%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 54%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 54%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 54%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 53%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| New York | No | 52%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 48%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fed / Too Late | No | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Low IQ | No | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 39%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 39%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 38%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 37%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 36%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 33%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 30%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 20%n=178 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP