Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 22, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his meeting with Zohran Mamdani?
Markets
21 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 72%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 70%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Drug | Yes | 57%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Middle East | Yes | 43%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 17%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 55%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 54%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 50%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | No | 49%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Capitalism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | 39%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 37%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 36%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 35%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Dividend / Stimulus | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 30%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 30%n=39 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP