Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 11, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his meeting with the President of Syria?
Markets
24 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | No | 75%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 73%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 68%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | 64%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 62%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 57%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 54%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 53%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 52%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 49%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 44%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 43%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiation | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 42%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 40%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 37%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 36%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| New York / Mayor | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | No | 33%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 24%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 15%n=173 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 12%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP