Donald Trump: Remarks, Aug 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the The President's Announcement?
Markets
25 words · 17 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 78%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 77%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 73%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| India | Yes | 55%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | Yes | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 53%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Apple | Yes | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| EU / European Union | Yes | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | 46%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Chip | Yes | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 38%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Cook | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hottest | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| iPhone | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Job | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade | No | 69%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | 43%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Golden | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Labor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Too Late | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Powell | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Defense | No | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Immigration | No | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP