Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 30, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the meeting with President Xi?
Markets
30 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | No | 76%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 72%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | No | 65%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 62%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 62%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 58%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 56%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Washington / White House | No | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 54%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | No | 50%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Kim / Jong Un | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | No | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia | No | 47%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 46%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Covid / China Virus | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Putin | No | 40%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 40%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Best Economy / Greatest Economy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chip / Semiconductor | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Soybean | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Taiwan | No | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer | No | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 24%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | 24%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 18%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 16%n=157 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP