Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 2, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the MAGA Dinner?
Markets
24 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | No | 76%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 76%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 73%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 63%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 60%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 60%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 59%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | No | 58%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 56%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 52%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 51%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 44%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 43%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 40%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 39%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Low IQ | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 27%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 26%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | 16%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 15%n=159 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP