Donald Trump: Interview, Nov 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his interview on Fox?
Markets
24 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 73%n=91 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 73%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 67%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 56%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Investment | Yes | 45%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| New York | Yes | 42%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 61%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 52%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 51%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 49%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamps | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 42%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 40%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 39%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 39%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | No | 37%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 28%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 26%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 23%n=165 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP