Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 14, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Executive Order Announcement?
Markets
23 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 58%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Youth | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| College / University | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Education | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Scholarship | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 31%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 73%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 72%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 67%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | No | 67%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 55%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 54%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 51%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 50%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 46%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 41%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 37%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 36%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 21%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 13%n=180 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP