Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 8, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the bilateral meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister?
Markets
24 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 75%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 74%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 72%n=95 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 64%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 60%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 58%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 57%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 53%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | Yes | 49%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | 46%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 41%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 39%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 35%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| India | No | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 53%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tomahawk | No | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Pipeline | No | 49%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| New York / Mayor | No | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 28%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 26%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 15%n=169 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 13%n=23 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP