Donald Trump: Interview, Nov 11, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Fox interview?
Markets
21 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 76%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 76%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 71%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 65%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 53%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | Yes | 45%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 38%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 59%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | No | 56%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 52%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Syria | No | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 44%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Air Traffic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 38%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | No | 33%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 23%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 20%n=173 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV11B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP