Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his dinner with Central Asian Countries?
Markets
26 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 73%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 73%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 71%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 59%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 59%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Energy | Yes | 56%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 56%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 51%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | Yes | 50%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 45%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Investment | Yes | 43%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Yes | 40%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 38%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 38%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 62%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 58%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 54%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 49%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| New York | No | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 42%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Disaster | No | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 34%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 32%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 30%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 17%n=165 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV072 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP