Will Donald Trump say “Golden Dome”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golden Dome” at 8 of 58 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=58, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

14%from settlement history only · n=58Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
7¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golden%20dome

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Golden Dome

Probability
14% · n=58
Settled
8/58 (14%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 59 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 11, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 6, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Oct 4, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 27, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 20, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 13, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 6, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 9, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 31, 2026Golden DomePolymarketYes2
Jul 26, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 26, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 19, 2026Golden DomeKalshiYes2
Jul 15, 2026Golden DomePolymarketYes2
Jul 15, 2026Golden DomeKalshiYes2
Jul 12, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 5, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 4, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo–
Jun 28, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 21, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 13 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 14, 2026Golden DomeKalshiYes1
Jun 7, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
May 31, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
May 31, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 24, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 17, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 10, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 3, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 26, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 19, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 12, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 5, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 29, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 22, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 15, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 8, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 1, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 1, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 24, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Feb 22, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 20, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Feb 15, 2026Golden DomePolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 15, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 8, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 2, 2026Golden DomeKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 18, 2025Golden DomePolymarketNo–
Oct 14, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2025Golden DomePolymarketYes–
Sep 29, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Jun 17, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Jun 16, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Jun 15, 2025Golden DomeKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2025Golden DomeKalshiYes–
May 24, 2025Golden DomeKalshiYes–
May 20, 2025Golden DomeKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Golden Dome”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golden Dome” at 8 of 58 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Golden Dome” next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=58). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Golden Dome’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/golden-dome (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golden%20dome · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP