Donald Trump: Weekly window, Apr 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (April 19)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 13, 2026 to Apr 20, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
54 words · 25 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 85%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 80%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 78%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=198 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kirk | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| All over the place | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| See what happens | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Two week / two-week | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hezbollah | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=102 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | 75%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | No | – | 0 | 70%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | No | – | 0 | 67%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 62%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 62%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | No | – | 0 | 60%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Central Casting | No | – | 0 | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 59%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rory / McIlroy | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sucker / Loser | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Christmas | No | – | 0 | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | No | – | 0 | 53%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Boy oh boy | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Four to Six | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay for Palestine | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Losing MAGA | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuke | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regarded | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AOC | No | – | 0 | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 38%n=337 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | – | 0 | 38%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 34%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 25%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 16%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 15%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 13%n=35 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26APR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP