Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jun 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (June 15 - 21)
Coverage
13 known appearances9 of 13 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 15, 2026 to Jun 22, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 136 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (14 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 15, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Emmanuel Macron of France and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 15, 2026 Donald Trump: G7 events transcript pending
- Jun 16, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Amir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and Prime Minister Muhammad bin Abd Al-Rahman Al Thani of Qatar and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 16, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan of the United Arab Emirates and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 16, 2026 Donald Trump: Working Lunch with G7 Leaders transcript pending
- Jun 17, 2026 The President's News Conference in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Abdelfattah Said Elsisi of Egypt and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Orly, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Working lunch with G7 Leaders and Tech CEOs transcript pending
- Jun 18, 2026 Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Honor to Major James Capers, Jr., USMC (Ret.), Major Nicholas Dockery, USA (Ret.), and Posthumously to Colonel John W. Ripley, USMC Official transcript
- Jun 19, 2026 Remarks During a Greeting With United States Servicemembers at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Jun 20, 2026 Donald Trump: Axios Show no transcript source yet
Markets
52 words · 23 settled yes · our count agreed on 20 of 20- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama | Yes | 25 | 25 | ✓ | 52%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | 18 | 20 | ✓ | 61%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Affordability | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 83%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | 78%n=143 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 55%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Mutilation / Mutilization | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 83%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 62%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Wonderful | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 84%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 76%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 65%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 49%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Sick | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 45%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 75%n=252 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 1 | 9 | ✓ | 53%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 42%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | – | 67%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | – | 0 | – | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | – | 50%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | No | – | 0 | – | 72%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | No | – | 0 | – | 72%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| American Flag Blue | No | – | 0 | – | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 65%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | – | 62%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | No | – | 0 | – | 58%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Juneteenth | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lego | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | – | 52%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala / Czar | No | – | 0 | – | 49%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Swamp The Vote | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soccer | No | – | 0 | – | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Too Big To Rig | No | – | 0 | – | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| FIFA | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Football | No | – | 0 | – | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 1 | – | 37%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | – | 36%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | – | 35%n=394 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | – | 0 | – | 31%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | – | 23%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | – | 16%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | – | 14%n=45 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26JUN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP