Donald Trump: Weekly window, Feb 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (February 22)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Feb 16, 2026 to Feb 23, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
45 words · 23 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 82%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=66 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Olympics | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Two weeks | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Etc. / Et cetera | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Virtual / Virtually | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | Yes | – | 0 | 42%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Water | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Mental Institution | No | – | 0 | 86%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | No | – | 0 | 73%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 71%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Shit / Ass | No | – | 0 | 69%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somali / Somalian | No | – | 0 | 67%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | No | – | 0 | 64%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | – | 0 | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bully | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold Medal / Gold Medallist | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Guthrie | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hottest Nation | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paper ballot | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| What's Up | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Winter Olympic / Winter Olympics | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sick person | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 36%n=273 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 32%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | – | 0 | 27%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 18%n=26 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26FEB23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP