Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jun 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (June 8)
Coverage
9 known appearances6 of 9 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 15, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 118 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (6 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 8, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Lindsey O. Graham and Gubernatorial Candidate Lieutenant Governor Pamela S. Evette of South Carolina Official transcript
- Jun 9, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From New York City Official transcript
- Jun 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Secure America Act and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on June 11 transcript pending
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Alabama Republican Senatorial Candidate Representative F. Barry Moore Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Lieutenant Governor W. Burton "Burt" Jones Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks on Signing a Proclamation To Restore United States Commercial Fishing in the Pacific and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 13, 2026 Donald Trump: Podcast with The Second Lady no transcript source yet
- Jun 14, 2026 Donald Trump: UFC Freedom 250 transcript pending
Markets
57 words · 24 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 22- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thug | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 69%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 77%n=137 from settlement history | – |
| New York | Yes | 9 | 13 | ✓ | 67%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Mutilation / Mutilization | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 81%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 64%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 75%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | 82%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 63%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 49%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 40%n=118 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 64%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 45%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 84%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 76%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 74%n=247 from settlement history | – |
| American Flag Blue | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Polling | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sucker | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Pratt | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golden Dome | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 11%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | – | 74%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 2 | – | 60%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | – | 0 | – | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 2 | 9 | ✗ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 65%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | No | – | 0 | – | 65%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | – | 0 | – | 62%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Table | No | – | 1 | – | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Star | No | – | 0 | – | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Danger | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Generation | No | – | 3 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Memory | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oman | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Warrior | No | – | 0 | – | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sacrifice | No | – | 1 | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | – | 54%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | – | 54%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | No | – | 2 | – | 47%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Uber | No | – | 0 | – | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| CIA | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | – | 0 | – | 41%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Interest rate | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | – | 39%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | No | – | 0 | – | 37%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | – | 36%n=388 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | – | 31%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Nuke | No | – | 0 | – | 30%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Traitor | No | – | 0 | – | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | – | 27%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | – | 26%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | – | 15%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | – | 11%n=27 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26JUN15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP