Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 2, 2026 to Mar 9, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
26 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 83%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=287 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | No | – | 0 | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | No | – | 0 | 65%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | 65%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | No | – | 0 | 64%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 56%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | – | 0 | 53%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | 50%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 44%n=87 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | – | 0 | 35%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 22%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 16%n=29 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26MAR09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP