Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jun 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
5 known appearances4 of 5 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 1, 2026 to Jun 8, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 129 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (9 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 3, 2026 Remarks at an Executive Order Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 4, 2026 Remarks on Coal and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 5, 2026 Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion on Agriculture in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin Official transcript
- Jun 5, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Eau Claire, Wisconsin Official transcript
- Jun 7, 2026 Donald Trump: Meet the Press no transcript source yet
Markets
32 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | 13 | 18 | ✓ | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 62%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 7 | 8 | ✓ | 77%n=134 from settlement history | – |
| Mutilation / Mutilization | Yes | 7 | 8 | ✓ | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | 83%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 81%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 49%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 73%n=243 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 65%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 39%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 74%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| American Flag Blue | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thug | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 66%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 66%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 65%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 61%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | Yes | – | 1 | – | 31%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | No | – | 0 | – | 83%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | No | – | 0 | – | 78%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | – | 57%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | – | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Pratt | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | – | 34%n=384 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | – | 28%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | – | 15%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | – | 11%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | – | 11%n=34 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26JUN08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP