Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 25, 2026 to Jun 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
32 words · 15 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 83%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 79%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Mutilation / Mutilization | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 76%n=131 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=240 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Tulsi / Gabbard | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | – | 0 | 39%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | Yes | – | 0 | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=380 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | Yes | – | 0 | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | Yes | – | 0 | 20%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | No | – | 0 | 84%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | No | – | 0 | 79%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | – | 0 | 66%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | 65%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 65%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | – | 0 | 62%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | 57%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Pratt | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | 49%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 43%n=115 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | 27%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 15%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 15%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 11%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 11%n=26 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26JUN01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP