Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 1, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Feb 23, 2026 to Mar 2, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
26 words · 17 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 82%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somali / Somalian | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Olympics | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Hockey | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | Yes | – | 0 | 25%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 63%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | 61%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | No | – | 0 | 61%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | No | – | 0 | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 57%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 34%n=280 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 27%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 17%n=27 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26MAR02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP