Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 1, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (March 1)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Feb 23, 2026 to Mar 1, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
25 words · 16 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRX | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Dell | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Autopen | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Iowa | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Directly To The People | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grid | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Made in America | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mass Destruction | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Waste | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crooked | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unaffordable Care Act | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome / Golden Age | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fleet | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fight Fight Fight | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Italy / Italian | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Restaurant | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Whole Dictionary | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tren de Aragua | No | – | 0 | 46%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 29%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | – | 0 | 26%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 26%n=280 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-march-1 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP