Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
6 known appearances4 of 6 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 7, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 167 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (11 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 31, 2026 Donald Trump: Healthcare affordability announcement transcript pending
- Aug 31, 2026 Remarks on Efforts To Reduce Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks in Meeting With Travel Executives and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks During a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 3, 2026 Donald Trump: GB News interview transcript pending
- Sep 4, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders To Promote United States Ranching and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
Markets
34 words · 15 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 12 | 15 | ✓ | 75%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 74%n=107 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 11 | 15 | ✓ | 66%n=89 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 75%n=225 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 75%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 67%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 63%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 85%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 66%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 70%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 68%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 65%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 39%n=493 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 25%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | Yes | – | 1 | – | 56%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | – | 0 | – | 76%n=164 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | – | 0 | – | 64%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | – | 0 | – | 62%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | – | 0 | – | 55%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Third Term | No | – | 0 | – | 48%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | – | 0 | – | 47%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Soleimani | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again | No | – | 0 | – | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | – | 35%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 34%n=130 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 0 | – | 28%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 23%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | – | 20%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | – | 19%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 17%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | – | 0 | – | 16%n=99 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | – | 14%n=49 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26SEP07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP