Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 23, 2026 to Mar 30, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
27 words · 19 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 84%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 78%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=179 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=315 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | Yes | – | 0 | 28%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | – | 0 | 74%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | 69%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 48%n=98 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 36%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 20%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 18%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 15%n=32 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26MAR30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP