Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 18, 2026 to May 25, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
32 words · 15 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 82%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 81%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 80%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 74%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=232 from settlement history | – |
| Mutilation / Mutilization | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Dumocrat / Dumbocrat | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Warsh | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | 71%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | 69%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | 68%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | – | 0 | 59%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 53%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | 50%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 47%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | No | – | 0 | 46%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | 36%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 34%n=371 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | 26%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 17%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 16%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 12%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 12%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26MAY25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP