Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 16, 2026 to Mar 23, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
27 words · 18 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 83%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 76%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 76%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Khamenei | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=96 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | 59%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | – | 0 | 49%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | – | 0 | 42%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 40%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 36%n=306 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | – | 0 | 31%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 24%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 19%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 15%n=31 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26MAR23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP