Donald Trump: Weekly window, Feb 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Feb 2, 2026 to Feb 9, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
26 words · 18 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mental Institution | Yes | – | 0 | 85%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 79%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| IQ | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Olympics | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 67%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somali / Somalian | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 33%n=253 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | – | 0 | 76%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | 60%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Insurrection Act | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Paid Agitator | No | – | 0 | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | – | 0 | 49%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | 40%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 19%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26FEB09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP