Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 2, 2026

By Aug 2Weekly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

15 known appearances
10 of 15 known appearances transcribed Window: Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

24 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Champion Yes1111✓58%n=4 from settlement history–
Transgender Yes1010✓67%n=186 from settlement history–
Egg Yes88✓67%n=34 from settlement history–
Sleepy Joe Yes44✓76%n=102 from settlement history–
Bibi / Netanyahu Yes49✓55%n=59 from settlement history–
Through The Roof Yes33✓52%n=8 from settlement history–
Trump Account Yes23✓70%n=8 from settlement history–
Landslide Yes22✓67%n=36 from settlement history–
Ballroom Yes22✓50%n=95 from settlement history–
Stupid Question Yes22✓27%n=20 from settlement history–
Barack Hussein Obama Yes11✓70%n=135 from settlement history–
Six Seven Yes–0–40%n=53 from settlement history–
Gianni / Infantino No–2–72%n=10 from settlement history–
Melania No–0–65%n=69 from settlement history–
President Xi No–1–63%n=33 from settlement history–
Moon No–0–51%n=20 from settlement history–
First Lady No–0–45%n=2 from settlement history–
Karoline / Leavitt No–0–40%n=23 from settlement history–
No No No No–0–34%n=23 from settlement history–
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis No–0–34%n=53 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No–0–31%n=455 from settlement history–
Epstein No–0–26%n=128 from settlement history–
Golden Dome No–0–22%n=45 from settlement history–
Uranium No–0–16%n=36 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-july-27-august-2-20260724154805086 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP